Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.391364 0.457141 0.530846 0.619614 0.723717 0.842048 0.986930
2024-12-29 0.291788 0.378507 0.486549 0.631340 0.820804 1.060992 1.389742
2025-01-05 0.231174 0.322030 0.443703 0.619146 0.866701 1.205129 1.705698
2025-01-12 0.192367 0.283893 0.413859 0.612777 0.911306 1.345484 2.030068
2025-01-19 0.166446 0.258182 0.395210 0.616069 0.965786 1.502627 2.397823
2025-01-26 0.152845 0.247971 0.396706 0.647930 1.065574 1.738986 2.920834
2025-02-02 0.141114 0.238482 0.397192 0.676982 1.163315 1.983658 3.492774
2025-02-09 0.129465 0.227157 0.392606 0.696010 1.245561 2.212069 4.069530
2025-02-16 0.117595 0.213616 0.382100 0.702597 1.305776 2.408711 4.616783
2025-02-23 0.105928 0.198746 0.367081 0.698448 1.344868 2.570845 5.121453
2025-03-02 0.093777 0.181324 0.345066 0.677863 1.349233 2.666869 5.508995
2025-03-09 0.088655 0.176590 0.346138 0.701817 1.443632 2.949877 6.317793
2025-03-16 0.081445 0.167033 0.337065 0.705060 1.498189 3.163670 7.022712
2025-03-23 0.076028 0.160444 0.333142 0.718532 1.576437 3.438619 7.908023
2025-03-30 0.068695 0.148881 0.317467 0.704602 1.592835 3.581613 8.515231
2025-04-06 0.062807 0.139668 0.305593 0.697328 1.622874 3.758661 9.230301
2025-04-13 0.058441 0.133262 0.299010 0.701088 1.678775 4.002661 10.147663
2025-04-20 0.056858 0.132972 0.306028 0.737482 1.817525 4.462775 11.685765
2025-04-27 0.055099 0.132040 0.311427 0.770673 1.953109 4.934573 13.333784
2025-05-04 0.052703 0.129280 0.312166 0.792416 2.062814 5.356899 14.920221
2025-05-11 0.049656 0.124546 0.307555 0.799942 2.136589 5.696587 16.334820
2025-05-18 0.046207 0.118387 0.298688 0.795201 2.176911 5.952842 17.554285
2025-05-25 0.042128 0.110122 0.283529 0.771680 2.162423 6.056927 18.342792